NASCAR Cup Series

Shane van Gisbergen, a repeat NASCAR winner? Don’t bet on it! But keep an eye on Cindric, Allmendinger!

Shane van Gisbergen, a repeat NASCAR winner? Don't bet on it! But keep an eye on Cindric, Allmendinger!

Hopefully, lightning won't strike twice in NASCAR's return to the Chicago Street Course, an event plagued by storms in the event's inaugural go around last year.

But can the thunder from down under?

According to the odds board, yes! Shane van Gisbergen, the New Zealander who shocked the racing world with a victory in his first Cup Series start last year, is the Vegas favorite to win again. But can that possibly happen now with the field of the best stock car drivers on the planet having another calendar year to hit the sim and to reflect on last year's race?

We shall see. But SVG's chances are just one of several intriguing aspects of the current betting board.

Here's a look at the bets we have an eye on this week.

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – JULY 02: Tyler Reddick, driver of the #45 Monster Energy Toyota, Christopher Bell, driver of the #20 CRAFTSMAN Racing For A Miracle Toyota, and Shane Van Gisbergen, driver of the #91 Enhance Health Chevrolet, drive to startthe NASCAR Cup Series Grant Park 220 at the Chicago Street Course on July 02, 2023 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)

NASCAR odds for Chicago

(Odds according to Hard Rock Bet)

  • +575: Shane van Gisbergen

  • +600: Kyle Larson

  • +650: Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell

  • +850: Chase Elliott

  • +1300: Martin Truex Jr.

  • +1400: Michael McDowell

  • +1500: William Byron, AJ Allmendinger

  • +1600: Ty Gibbs, Chris Buescher

  • +3000: Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin, Ross Chastain, Daniel Suarez

  • +4000: Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney

  • +5000: Austin Cindric

  • +6000: Alex Bowman

  • +7500: Chase Briscoe, Justin Haley

  • +10000: Brad Keselowski, Carson Hocevar, Joey Hand, Todd Gilliland

  • +15000: Zane Smith, Erik Jones, Noah Gragson

  • +20000: Bubba Wallace, Corey LaJoie

  • +25000: Austin Hill, Josh Berry, Austin Dillon, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Ryan Preece

  • +50000: John Hunter Nemechek, Daniel Hemric, Kaz Grala, Harrison Burton

  • +100000: Josh Bilicki

Best bet

Ryan: I'm heading over to Group 2, where Allmendinger is the longest shot (+300) in a foursome that also belongs to Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr. and Chris Buescher. The latter three are all good road racers, but Allmendinger is as good as we have and at 3-to-1? Come on. More on AJ in just a bit.

Ken: Do I think Austin Cindric will win? How can you honestly "think" anyone will win, given all the good road-racers these days and given all that can happen on a tight street course? But my goodness, he's a born-and-bred road-racer and he's +5000, which is 500-to-1? That's worth a few pounds, I'd say.

Top 10

Ryan: I think this is the week you can go way off the board. Lord only knows what kind of calamity this race will hold in Year 2. With that in mind, give me Corey LaJoie at 7-to-1. LaJoie has turned into a sneaky solid road-course racer in the Gen-7 car and he finished 14th here last year.

NASCAR Cup Series driver Austin Cindric is introduced before the Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway in Lebanon, Tenn., Sunday, June 30, 2024.

Ken: I'm sticking with Austin Cindric at +185 for 10th or better. That's not a lot of money sitting there, but it's a helluva lot more than betting on someone who isn't practically guaranteed to finish in the top 10.

Top 5

Ryan: Let's keep the sevens coming … I'll take Austin Cindric at 7-to-1. The Penske cars have been fast of late and Cindric may be the best road racer of the bunch. He was sixth here a year ago, for what it's worth.

Ken: Look who's jumping on the Austin bandwagon. Just to go totally off the grid, I'm going with a different Austin, as in Dillon. True, he might be the worst road-course racer among every single one of the Cup Series regulars, but weird things happen and he's +4000 just to keep his nose clean and pull for a bunch of wrecks in the front. Hey, it happens.

Driver to fade

Ryan: Honestly, and I may eat my words on this one, but I'm out on SVG. Not that he won't be solid, I just don't trust him to win again in that car with the best in the sport another year wiser when it comes to this race.

Shane Van Gisbergen watches the action on the giant TV screen as he and the crew wait for their qualifying run, Saturday February 17, 2024 for the United Rentals 300 at Daytona International Speedway.

Ken: Ditto. I think someone like Denny Hamlin or Kyle Busch gives him a hip-check the first chance they get.


Ryan: Allmendinger is ninth on the board at +1500. That's a slap in the face. All this guy does is hover in the top 10 on road courses and he just won the Roval back in the fall. He's going to be there and when others slip up, watch out.

Ken: Michael McDowell recently proved his desperation. He's only +1400, which tells us the bookmakers and bettors know how good he is with right-hand turns. But since we seem legally obligated to avoid the north end of the odds board, Mikey Mac is my guy.

NASCAR DFS lineup advice

  • Christopher Bell ($10,200): Led the most laps last year at 37, had the best car and has been awfully fast lately.

  • Tyler Reddick ($9,800): Probably had the second best car last year and was in a great position late until blowing through a corner and into the wall. If not for that mistake, he may have been in victory lane.

  • AJ Allmendinger ($9,000): More faith in this guy to get it to the line than anyone in the field. A no-brainer.

  • Ross Chastain ($8,200): Let's not forget, SVG won in a Track House car, so this stable has speed. It's worth a flyer on Ross to find it.

  • Justin Haley ($6,700): It may be unreasonable to expect Haley to match last year's runner-up finish in this race, but he can obviously get around on the streets.

  • Corey LaJoie ($6,100): A pure gut feeling here, but LaJoie is better than you think at turning right and left.

This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: NASCAR odds, picks, predictions, best bets, DFS lineup for Chicago


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